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Current Look at the 2016 Run for President - Perry Drops Out, Trump on a Roll

9/13/2015  articles

Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry the First Casualty of the Race

Rick Perry announced on Friday, September 11, that he was suspending his candidacy for the Republican nomination. “At a speech to the Eagle Forum on Friday in St. Louis, Perry called himself ‘a blessed man’ who was leaving the playing field with ‘no regrets.’ (David Weigel, Philip Rucker, Dan Balz, Washington Post)

Trump, Carson, Cruz

The Washington Times writer David Sherfinski reports that “Real estate mogul Donald Trump was at 27% support, former neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 21% and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 9%, according to the latest Quinnipiac poll.

Cruz and Trump teamed up participating in the Washington Mall Rally to defeat the Iran deal.

Bush, Fiorina, Kasich, Rubio, Walker, Paul, Huckabee

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush was at 6%, followed by Carly Fiorina, Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Florida U.S. Senator. Marco Rubio at 5% apiece. Gov. Walker was at 3% in the new poll, behind Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 4% apiece.

A Quinnipiac survey taken in late June had Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker in the lead at 18%, followed by Mr. Trump and Mr. Carson at 10% each.

In line with some of the numbers of other polls, likely caucus-goers said by 79% percent to 15% margin that experience outside of Washington, D.C., is better for a president than Washington experience.

“The Iowa Republican Caucus looks like a two-man race in which the Washington experience that has traditionally been a major measuring stick that voters have used to choose candidates is now a big negative,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

“Perhaps even more surprising, now given the 16- member field of candidates vying for the Republican presidential nomination, is that more than half the votes in Quinnipiac University poll of likely GOP caucus-goers are going to three candidates who have never held political office—Donald Trump, Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina,” Mr. Brown said.

Mr. Carson was the best-liked of the candidates with a 79%/6% favorable/unfavorable split. Ms. Fiorina had a 62%/8% split and Mr. Trump had a 60%/35% split.

Mr. Trump also topped the “no way” list at 25 percent, followed by Mr. Bush at 23% and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 14%.

Joe Biden has not yet decided if he is going to run

His son, Beau died of brain cancer two months ago. On Stephen Colbert’s “The Late Show” he explained why he shouldn’t run: a deeply grieving father cannot devote the requisite intellectual and emotional attention – at least not yet –to be president.

Bernie Sanders, a serious challenge to Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders is appealing to Democratic leaders that he, and not Hillary Clinton, would be the strongest nominee because of the enthusiasm his populist message generates.

He is building and expanding his organization in South Carolina, Nevada, and Colorado, where he is targeting Latino and black voters. In Massachusetts, Minnesota, Illinois, Michigan, and Ohio he is targeting voters under 30 years old and working class white people using social media.

Sanders poll numbers are overtaking and surpassing Hillary’s. The large crowds he is attracting far exceed hers.

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